Single poll

Civey poll of 1 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
25 Aug 2021 to 1 Sep 2021
Respondents
10,032
Method
Online
  • SPD25.0%+3.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2021.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,032 people were surveyed from 25 Aug 2021 to 1 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 3.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.4average 21.6
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP -0.8average 11.8
  • Linke -0.8average 6.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 23.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 169 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD169
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne122
  • FDP74
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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