Civey poll of 25 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 10,054
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU22.0%-2.0
- SPD22.0%+3.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Aug 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 10,054 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Aug 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 24.9
- SPD +2.1average 19.9
- AfD +1.0average 11.0
- Grüne +0.2average 17.8
- FDP +0.2average 11.8
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU149
- SPD149
- Grüne122
- FDP81
- AfD81
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.