Civey poll of 18 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 10,117
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Aug 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 10,117 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Aug 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 26.4
- Grüne +1.2average 18.8
- SPD +1.0average 18.0
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU163
- Grüne135
- SPD129
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.