Civey poll of 11 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 10,116
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Aug 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 10,116 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 26.9
- SPD +0.9average 17.1
- Grüne +0.8average 19.2
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU165
- Grüne137
- SPD123
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.