Civey poll of 4 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jul 2021 to 4 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 10,217
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Jul 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,217 people were surveyed from 28 Jul 2021 to 4 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 27.7
- Grüne +1.7average 19.3
- Linke -0.8average 6.8
- SPD +0.4average 16.6
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- Grüne144
- SPD117
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD432 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.