Civey poll of 28 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 28 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 10,111
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Jul 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,111 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Jul 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 28.6
- Grüne +1.6average 19.4
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- FDP +0.2average 11.8
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne141
- SPD114
- FDP80
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.