Civey poll of 21 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 10,057
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Jul 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,057 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 28.9
- Grüne +1.6average 19.4
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- SPD117
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.