Civey poll of 14 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 10,110
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Jul 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 10,110 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 3.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.6average 15.4
- Linke -1.3average 7.3
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.8
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Grüne +0.2average 19.8
- AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD127
- FDP74
- AfD67
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.