Civey poll of 7 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2021 to 7 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 10,069
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Jun 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,069 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2021 to 7 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.4average 15.6
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 28.7
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- Grüne +0.9average 20.1
- FDP ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne139
- SPD119
- FDP73
- AfD60
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.