Civey poll of 30 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 30 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 10,068
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 Jun 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 10,068 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.6 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 15.4
- Grüne +1.5average 20.5
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 28.4
- FDP +0.6average 11.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne146
- SPD113
- FDP79
- AfD60
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.