Wahlergebnisse
Pollster

Allensbach poll: latest Sunday question

Latest federal Sunday question of 22 October 2026: AfD 27.0%, CDU/CSU 23.0%, SPD 14.0%, Grüne 14.0%, Linke 11.0%, FDP 4.0%. 129 polls since 22 February 2017, 12 of them in 2026. Latest release on 22 October 2026. Recently commissioned by: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Allensbach, Drei Quellen-Mediengruppe.

Our analysis

How does Allensbach compare?

House effect since 7 November 2025 in federal polls: CDU/CSU +1.9, Linke -0.8, FDP +0.7 relative to the average of the other pollsters (12 polls). Accuracy: rank 3 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.1 points per party across 3 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • CDU/CSU +1.9
  • Linke -0.8
  • FDP +0.7
  • Grüne -0.7
  • AfD -0.6
  • SPD +0.5
Deviation of the final Allensbach poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Bundestag 23 Feb 202521 Feb 20251.2CDU/CSU +3.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20210.6Grüne +1.2
Bundestag 24 Sep 201719 Sep 20171.5CDU/CSU +3.6
Federal

All Allensbach federal election polls

122 polls since 22 February 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All Allensbach federal election polls
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDPOthers
Allensbach22 Oct 2026272314141147
Allensbach24 Sep 2026282313141057
Allensbach21 Aug 202627.522.513131167
Allensbach23 Jul 202626.5241313105.58
Allensbach24 Jun 2026282412.513105.57
Allensbach11 May 2026262512.514104.58
Allensbach17 Apr 2026252614131048
Allensbach21 Mar 202623281611.51047.5
Allensbach2 Mar 2026242716121047
Allensbach31 Jan 202625271511.5103.58
Allensbach11 Dec 202525271412.594.55
Allensbach14 Nov 2025242715.511103.55
Allensbach17 Oct 2025252615111135
Allensbach24 Sep 2025242715111145
Allensbach21 Aug 202522.52816111044.5
Allensbach19 Jul 202523291512944.5
Allensbach20 Jun 202523291611944
Allensbach24 May 202522.52817111034.5
Allensbach19 Apr 202523.52716121034.5
Allensbach27 Mar 20252129.51611.51035
Allensbach21 Feb 2025203214.5127.54.55
Allensbach14 Feb 202520321513655
Allensbach23 Jan 202520341713.5–46.5
Allensbach20 Dec 202418361612–48
Allensbach22 Nov 202417371510–49.5
Allensbach18 Oct 202416361510.5–4.59
Allensbach19 Sep 20241735.51610–48.5
Allensbach22 Aug 202416341611.5357.5
Allensbach25 Jul 2024173216.511.5–69
Allensbach20 Jun 202415321613368
Allensbach24 May 20241432.517.513366
Allensbach26 Apr 20241632.51615364.5
Allensbach21 Mar 202416341514356
Allensbach22 Feb 202418321514365
Allensbach25 Jan 202419.5341513.5465
Allensbach21 Dec 2023183417153.554.5
Allensbach23 Nov 202319321713.53.565
Allensbach26 Oct 202319341713355
Allensbach21 Sep 202319301814577
Allensbach23 Aug 202319291914577
Allensbach27 Jul 202318291916477
Allensbach29 Jun 202317311915486
Allensbach18 May 202315321816586
Allensbach26 Apr 20231631201557.55.5
Allensbach23 Mar 2023153121164.56.56
Allensbach15 Feb 2023143022.51647.56
Allensbach26 Jan 2023143121174.566.5
Allensbach21 Dec 2022123022184.57.56
Allensbach24 Nov 20221429.52020475.5
Allensbach20 Oct 20221430.51919575.5
Allensbach16 Sep 2022133020195.575.5
Allensbach24 Aug 2022122919.521585.5
Allensbach27 Jul 20221127.52222575.5
Allensbach22 Jun 2022102723224.585.5
Allensbach27 May 20229292420.54.585
Allensbach13 Apr 20229242817697
Allensbach24 Mar 202210252517510.57.5
Allensbach24 Feb 202210272515610.56.5
Allensbach26 Jan 2022102327.514.55.512.57
Allensbach22 Dec 202110.52426155136.5
Allensbach18 Nov 20219.52327155.5146
Allensbach20 Oct 20219.52128155147.5
Allensbach24 Sep 202110252616510.57.5
Allensbach8 Sep 202111252715.569.56
Allensbach28 Aug 202110.5262417610.56
Allensbach19 Aug 20211127.519.517.57.5116
Allensbach28 Jul 20219.5301619.57126
Allensbach20 Jul 20219.531.516.5186.5126
Allensbach16 Jun 2021929.51721.57115
Allensbach19 May 20211027.516246.5106
Allensbach21 Apr 20219.52816.5237.5105.5
Allensbach24 Mar 20211028.51821.58.58.55
Allensbach25 Feb 20219.5371520774.5
Allensbach28 Jan 202193716207.56.54
Allensbach16 Dec 202093716.519774.5
Allensbach18 Nov 20209.53717187.56.54.5
Allensbach23 Oct 20201035.51720764.5
Allensbach22 Sep 20209371719.5764.5
Allensbach27 Aug 2020938171975.54.5
Allensbach22 Jul 202093815.5207.55.54.5
Allensbach18 Jun 20209.5401618.574.54.5
Allensbach21 May 202093815.51975.56
Allensbach24 Apr 20209381619765
Allensbach25 Mar 202011.52916.523875
Allensbach19 Feb 20201327.514.5239.584.5
Allensbach29 Jan 20201328.51423.5885
Allensbach19 Dec 20191528.515218.575
Allensbach19 Nov 201914.529.51421.587.55
Allensbach16 Oct 20191329.51623.576.54.5
Allensbach17 Sep 201914291522875
Allensbach21 Aug 201912.529.513.524875.5
Allensbach24 Jul 201911.529.514.5238.576
Allensbach24 Jun 201912291225886
Allensbach23 May 2019133017.5178.595
Allensbach18 Apr 201912.53018.518894
Allensbach27 Mar 2019123018198.58.54
Allensbach19 Feb 201913.5301818.5884
Allensbach23 Jan 20191331.516.5188.58.54
Allensbach20 Dec 2018142916.51998.54
Allensbach30 Nov 201813.528171999.54
Allensbach18 Oct 20181529191598.54.5
Allensbach18 Sep 20181531.519.512.598.54
Allensbach15 Aug 201814.5312012.5994
Allensbach17 Jul 20181530.5201299.54
Allensbach20 Jun 2018133321119.59.53
Allensbach17 May 201811.53420111094.5
Allensbach25 Apr 2018123420.5119103.5
Allensbach21 Mar 201812.534191110103.5
Allensbach23 Feb 2018133217.5129.5115
Allensbach25 Jan 201812342110.58.5104
Allensbach21 Dec 201711342111.59103.5
Allensbach30 Nov 2017113321.5119104.5
Allensbach25 Oct 2017123320.59.59124
Allensbach19 Sep 20171036.52289113.5
Allensbach6 Sep 2017838.5247.58104
Allensbach22 Aug 2017739.5247.58104
Allensbach18 Jul 2017739.5257993.5
Allensbach20 Jun 20176.5402478.510.53.5
Allensbach26 May 2017837268894
Allensbach25 Apr 2017736317964
Allensbach28 Mar 2017734337.586.54
Allensbach22 Feb 20178.53330.58875
Min – Max6.5–2821–4012–337–253–113–143–9.5

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland161 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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