Allensbach poll of 26 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 18 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,041
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.5%-1.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Mar 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,041 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Apr 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 29.8
- AfD -1.4average 17.4
- FDP +1.4average 4.6
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- BSW +1.1average 5.9
- Linke -0.6average 3.6
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- SPD109
- AfD109
- Grüne102
- BSW48
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.