Wahlergebnisse
Germany · as of 7 November 2026

Election pollsElection resultsElection forecasts

If the election were held on Sunday: every poll for the Bundestag, the state parliaments and the European Parliament, averaged across pollsters, plus every official result since 2017 and a forecast for every upcoming election. Updated daily.

2025 federal election in every municipality

Pick your state and its latest polls will appear here. Go to settings

Latest poll · 7 Nov 2026INSA for BILD am Sonntag, FederalAfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest move · 180 daysCDU, Hamburg−6.0 to 14.0%Leading nationallyAfD204 days, since 17 Apr 2026

Federal election: polling average

10 pollsters, as of 7 Nov 2026
Seat distributionCoalitionsHouse effectsTrend
Our indicator

Germany mood index

Federal and state levels in one figure: the index averages the federal election polls and the state election polls of all 16 states, weighted by eligible voters.

Germany mood index: parties at federal and state level
Index, federal polling average, weighted state average plus West and East, in per cent
Mood index per party with federal average, state average, West and East, values in per cent
PartyIndexFederalStatesWestEast
AfD25.9%27.8%23.9%20.8%35.9%
CDU/CSU22.8%20.0%25.6%27.8%17.3%
Grüne15.3%15.1%15.5%17.6%7.5%
SPD14.0%13.6%14.4%14.8%12.9%
Linke9.3%10.8%7.8%6.4%13.4%
FDP3.5%3.9%3.1%3.7%0.9%
BSW2.3%3.1%1.5%0.5%5.3%

The AfD leads the mood index with 25.9%, followed by the CDU/CSU on 22.8%. In the East the AfD stands at 35.9%, in the West the CDU/CSU at 27.8%.

How is the mood index calculated?

Half of the index is the current federal polling average (latest poll from each pollster) and half is the average of the state polling averages of all 16 states, weighted by eligible voters at the 2025 federal election. States without a current state poll are left out, CDU and CSU count together as the Union, and parties a pollster does not report in a state count as zero there; West and East (the new states including Berlin) are weighted the same way.

Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL) · own calculation · As of: 7 Nov 2026
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All election polls at a glance

Next election

Saarland and Schleswig-Holstein go to the polls

Both state elections on 18 April 2027; polling stations close at 6 pm. Next up: North Rhine-Westphalia on 25 Apr 2027.

Saarland forecastSchleswig-Holstein forecastAll election dates
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States

Largest party in each state

Based on the current polling average for each state or on the 2025 federal election. Tap a state to open its polls; the map with every district shows the next level down.

Largest party by state, latest polls
State election polling average per state, or second votes at the 2025 federal election
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL) · Federal Returning Officer · © GeoBasis-DE / BKG 2025 · As of: 7 Nov 2026
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Latest polls

The most recently published polls for all parliaments.

  • Bundestag7 Nov 2026
    INSA for BILD am Sonntag, 1,204 respondents
    AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15SPD 14
  • Thuringia6 Nov 2026
    INSA for FUNKE Medien Thüringen, 1,000 respondents
    AfD 40CDU 18Linke 17SPD 8
  • Bundestag5 Nov 2026
    Infratest dimap for ARD-Tagesthemen, 1,297 respondents
    AfD 27CDU/CSU 20Grüne 16SPD 13
  • Saarland4 Nov 2026
    Infratest dimap for Saarländischer Rundfunk, 1,269 respondents
    SPD 33AfD 21CDU 20Grüne 9
  • Bundestag3 Nov 2026
    INSA for BILD, 2,004 respondents
    AfD 28CDU/CSU 20Grüne 15SPD 14
  • Bundestag3 Nov 2026
    Forsa for RTL / n-tv, 2,500 respondents
    AfD 26CDU/CSU 20Grüne 17SPD 14
  • Bundestag31 Oct 2026
    INSA for BILD am Sonntag, 1,202 respondents
    AfD 29CDU/CSU 20Grüne 15SPD 14
  • Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania29 Oct 2026
    INSA for Nordkurier, 1,000 respondents
    AfD 39SPD 32Linke 9Grüne 5
  • Bundestag27 Oct 2026
    INSA for BILD, 2,010 respondents
    AfD 29.5CDU/CSU 19SPD 14Grüne 14
  • Bundestag27 Oct 2026
    Forsa for RTL / n-tv, 2,501 respondents
    AfD 27CDU/CSU 21Grüne 16SPD 13
  • Hesse27 Oct 2026
    Infratest dimap for Hessischer Rundfunk, 1,185 respondents
    CDU 25AfD 23Grüne 16SPD 15
  • Bundestag24 Oct 2026
    INSA for BILD am Sonntag, 1,209 respondents
    AfD 30CDU/CSU 19SPD 14Grüne 14

New polls as an RSS feed

Calendar

Upcoming elections

  1. Saarland state election
    18 April 2027
  2. Schleswig-Holstein state election
    18 April 2027
  3. North Rhine-Westphalia state election
    25 April 2027
  4. Bremen state election
    30 May 2027
  5. Lower Saxony state election
    26 September 2027
  6. Bavarian state election
    expected autumn 2028

All election dates

Our analysis

Which pollster is most accurate?

We compare the final polls before every election since 2017 with the official result and show which pollster systematically rates which party higher.

Accuracy of all pollstersHouse effects nationally
All parliaments

Polling at a glance

Current average for each parliament. Blank means the party is not standing or is not polled.

Current polling average by parliament, values in per cent
ElectionAs ofCDU/CSUCDUCSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeBSWFDPFreie Wähler
Bundestag7 Nov 202620.027.813.615.110.83.13.9
BW15 Oct 202623.023.07.030.06.04.0
BY20 Oct 202637.020.37.014.33.32.010.3
BE8 Oct 202619.317.812.015.322.04.32.8
BB9 Oct 202610.538.521.06.510.55.5
HB19 Aug 202622.516.021.015.013.53.04.0
HH30 Sep 202614.013.030.017.514.53.03.0
HE27 Oct 202625.023.015.016.07.04.03.0
MV29 Oct 20266.837.232.05.210.04.4
NI11 Sep 202622.021.026.015.06.03.05.0
NW16 Oct 202629.020.016.316.38.04.0
RP20 Aug 202628.024.019.011.05.03.03.0
SL4 Nov 202620.021.033.09.06.03.03.0
SN21 May 202621.042.06.06.09.07.0
ST3 Sep 202622.642.07.95.611.94.02.6
SH14 Jul 202630.016.513.518.06.55.0
TH6 Nov 202618.040.08.04.017.05.0
European election8 Jun 202430.115.514.614.12.96.44.12.9
Election tickerNext electionSaarland160 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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