Single poll
INSA poll of 29 October 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Oct 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Oct 2026, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Sep 2026, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, BSW gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.3 points lower and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.3average 7.3
- AfD +2.2average 36.8
- Linke -1.3average 10.3
- BSW +0.7average 4.3
- Grüne -0.3average 5.3
- SPD ±0average 32.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- SPD24
- Linke6
- Grüne4
- BSW4
- CDU4
- AfD + SPD53 of 71
- AfD + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + Linke + BSW39 of 71
- AfD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
- AfD + Grüne + BSW37 of 71
- AfD + Grüne + CDU37 of 71
- AfD + BSW + CDU37 of 71
More
More polls
← INSA, 16 Sep 2026Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.