Single poll
INSA poll of 16 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 35.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Sep 2026, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.7average 31.3
- BSW -1.3average 4.3
- Linke -0.5average 10.5
- CDU -0.5average 7.5
- Grüne -0.3average 5.3
- AfD ±0average 37.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD28
- SPD26
- Linke8
- CDU5
- Grüne4
- AfD + SPD54 of 71
- AfD + Linke36 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne38 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
More
More polls
← INSA, 10 Sep 2026INSA, 29 Oct 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.