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Pollster

INSA: current polls

1114 polls since 24 January 2017, 115 of them in 2026. Latest release on 22 September 2026. Recently commissioned by: BILD, BILD am Sonntag, Volt Berlin, Nordkurier, NIUS.

Our analysis

How does INSA compare?

House effect since 22 September 2025 in federal polls: AfD +1.1, CDU/CSU -0.8, Grüne -0.8 relative to the average of the other pollsters (103 polls). Accuracy: rank 7 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.5 points per party across 38 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • AfD +1.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.8
  • Grüne -0.8
  • BSW +0.4
  • SPD +0.2
  • FDP -0.2
  • Linke ±0
Deviation of the final INSA poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 202618 Sep 20261.5Linke -4.7
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 20 Sep 202616 Sep 20261.6Linke +3.5
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Sep 20262 Sep 20262.4CDU +4.8
Rhineland-Palatinate 22 Mar 202618 Mar 20261.2CDU -3.0
Baden-Württemberg 8 Mar 20264 Mar 20262.8Grüne -6.2
Hamburg 2 Mar 202527 Feb 20252.0AfD +3.5
Bundestag 23 Feb 202522 Feb 20250.7SPD -1.4
Brandenburg 22 Sep 202417 Sep 20241.8SPD -5.9
Saxony 1 Sep 202424 Aug 20241.3BSW +3.2
Thuringia 1 Sep 202424 Aug 20241.8BSW +4.2
European election 9 Jun 20241 Jun 20240.6FDP -1.2
Bavaria 8 Oct 20234 Oct 20230.7FDP +1.0
Hesse 8 Oct 20234 Oct 20231.5CDU -3.6
Bremen 14 May 20239 May 20231.1Linke -1.9
Berlin 12 Feb 20239 Feb 20231.1CDU -3.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 20224 Oct 20220.9SPD -2.4
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 202212 May 20222.0CDU -3.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 20223 May 20222.8CDU -7.4
Saarland 27 Mar 202220 Mar 20221.5SPD -4.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202120 Sep 20211.0CDU/CSU -2.1
Berlin 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20211.8AfD +3.0
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20210.6Linke +1.1
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Jun 20214 Jun 20213.0CDU -10.1
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 202112 Mar 20211.0AfD +3.3
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 202112 Mar 20211.5SPD -3.7
Hamburg 23 Feb 202019 Feb 20201.2CDU +1.8
Thuringia 27 Oct 201924 Oct 20191.6Linke -3.0
Brandenburg 1 Sep 201927 Aug 20192.5SPD -5.2
Saxony 1 Sep 201927 Aug 20192.0Linke +4.6
Bremen 26 May 201921 May 20190.7SPD -1.9
European election 26 May 201923 May 20191.1FDP +2.6
Hesse 28 Oct 201823 Oct 20180.9Linke +1.7
Bavaria 14 Oct 20189 Oct 20181.6CSU -4.2
Lower Saxony 15 Oct 20179 Oct 20171.8SPD -3.9
Bundestag 24 Sep 201722 Sep 20171.1Linke +1.8
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 20179 May 20171.1CDU -3.0
Schleswig-Holstein 7 May 201729 Apr 20171.1SPD +1.8
Saarland 26 Mar 201722 Mar 20171.9CDU -5.7
Federal

INSA on the federal election

The pollster's latest polls for the Bundestag.

PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSWOthers
INSA22 Sep 202629.519.513.513.510.54.53.55.5
INSA20 Sep 20262920131411535
INSA15 Sep 20262919.512.51410.54.53.56.5
INSA12 Sep 20262920131410437
INSA8 Sep 20262919.512.513.510.54.546.5
INSA5 Sep 20262820131310448
INSA1 Sep 20262920.51213.510.54.53.56.5
INSA29 Aug 20262920121310448
INSA25 Aug 20262920.51213.5114.536.5
INSA23 Aug 20262921121311536
INSA18 Aug 202628.520.5121312536
INSA15 Aug 20262820121312537
INSA11 Aug 202628.520.512.51311.54.536.5
INSA8 Aug 20262821121311537
INSA4 Aug 202628211213.511545.5

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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