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Pollster

INSA poll: latest Sunday question (INSA-Meinungstrend for BILD)

Latest federal Sunday question of 7 November 2026: AfD 29.0%, CDU/CSU 19.0%, Grüne 15.0%, SPD 14.0%, Linke 10.0%, FDP 5.0%. 1131 polls since 24 January 2017, 132 of them in 2026. Latest release on 7 November 2026. Recently commissioned by: BILD am Sonntag, FUNKE Medien Thüringen, BILD, Nordkurier, Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR). INSA-Meinungstrend is the name of the survey INSA runs for BILD; its Sunday question is listed here with all other polls by the pollster.

Our analysis

How does INSA compare?

House effect since 7 November 2025 in federal polls: AfD +1.2, CDU/CSU -0.9, Grüne -0.9 relative to the average of the other pollsters (103 polls). Accuracy: rank 7 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.5 points per party across 38 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • AfD +1.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.9
  • Grüne -0.9
  • BSW +0.3
  • SPD +0.2
  • FDP -0.2
  • Linke -0.2
Deviation of the final INSA poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Berlin 20 Sep 202618 Sep 20261.5Linke -4.7
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 20 Sep 202616 Sep 20261.6Linke +3.5
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Sep 20262 Sep 20262.4CDU +4.8
Rhineland-Palatinate 22 Mar 202618 Mar 20261.2CDU -3.0
Baden-Württemberg 8 Mar 20264 Mar 20262.8Grüne -6.2
Hamburg 2 Mar 202527 Feb 20252.0AfD +3.5
Bundestag 23 Feb 202522 Feb 20250.7SPD -1.4
Brandenburg 22 Sep 202417 Sep 20241.8SPD -5.9
Saxony 1 Sep 202424 Aug 20241.3BSW +3.2
Thuringia 1 Sep 202424 Aug 20241.8BSW +4.2
European election 9 Jun 20241 Jun 20240.6FDP -1.2
Bavaria 8 Oct 20234 Oct 20230.7FDP +1.0
Hesse 8 Oct 20234 Oct 20231.5CDU -3.6
Bremen 14 May 20239 May 20231.1Linke -1.9
Berlin 12 Feb 20239 Feb 20231.1CDU -3.2
Lower Saxony 9 Oct 20224 Oct 20220.9SPD -2.4
North Rhine-Westphalia 15 May 202212 May 20222.0CDU -3.7
Schleswig-Holstein 8 May 20223 May 20222.8CDU -7.4
Saarland 27 Mar 202220 Mar 20221.5SPD -4.5
Bundestag 26 Sep 202120 Sep 20211.0CDU/CSU -2.1
Berlin 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20211.8AfD +3.0
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20210.6Linke +1.1
Saxony-Anhalt 6 Jun 20214 Jun 20213.0CDU -10.1
Baden-Württemberg 14 Mar 202112 Mar 20211.0AfD +3.3
Rhineland-Palatinate 14 Mar 202112 Mar 20211.5SPD -3.7
Hamburg 23 Feb 202019 Feb 20201.2CDU +1.8
Thuringia 27 Oct 201924 Oct 20191.6Linke -3.0
Brandenburg 1 Sep 201927 Aug 20192.5SPD -5.2
Saxony 1 Sep 201927 Aug 20192.0Linke +4.6
Bremen 26 May 201921 May 20190.7SPD -1.9
European election 26 May 201923 May 20191.1FDP +2.6
Hesse 28 Oct 201823 Oct 20180.9Linke +1.7
Bavaria 14 Oct 20189 Oct 20181.6CSU -4.2
Lower Saxony 15 Oct 20179 Oct 20171.8SPD -3.9
Bundestag 24 Sep 201722 Sep 20171.1Linke +1.8
North Rhine-Westphalia 14 May 20179 May 20171.1CDU -3.0
Schleswig-Holstein 7 May 201729 Apr 20171.1SPD +1.8
Saarland 26 Mar 201722 Mar 20171.9CDU -5.7
Federal

All INSA federal election polls

798 polls since 24 January 2017, newest first; each row with date, values, fieldwork period and sample size.

All INSA federal election polls
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneSPDLinkeFDPBSWOthers
INSA7 Nov 20262919151410535
INSA3 Nov 2026282015141053.54.5
INSA31 Oct 20262920151410534
INSA27 Oct 202629.519141410535.5
INSA24 Oct 20263019141410436
INSA20 Oct 2026301814141153.54.5
INSA17 Oct 20262918141311447
INSA13 Oct 20263018.51413.5104.53.56
INSA11 Oct 20263019141310437
INSA5 Oct 202630.517.514.514.510.54.53.54.5
INSA3 Oct 20263018141410446
INSA29 Sep 202629.51914.514.51043.55
INSA26 Sep 20262919151410436
INSA22 Sep 202629.519.513.513.510.54.53.55.5
INSA20 Sep 20262920141311535
INSA15 Sep 20262919.51412.510.54.53.56.5
INSA12 Sep 20262920141310437
INSA8 Sep 20262919.513.512.510.54.546.5
INSA5 Sep 20262820131310448
INSA1 Sep 20262920.513.51210.54.53.56.5
INSA29 Aug 20262920131210448
INSA25 Aug 20262920.513.512114.536.5
INSA23 Aug 20262921131211536
INSA18 Aug 202628.520.5131212536
INSA15 Aug 20262820131212537
INSA11 Aug 202628.520.51312.511.54.536.5
INSA8 Aug 20262821131211537
INSA4 Aug 2026282113.51211545.5
INSA2 Aug 20262821141211545
INSA28 Jul 2026282113.512.511446
INSA25 Jul 20262821141211446
INSA21 Jul 20262920.5131310.54.53.56
INSA18 Jul 20262921131310437
INSA14 Jul 202628.521.51312.510.5446
INSA11 Jul 20262822121211447
INSA7 Jul 202629221312.510.5445
INSA4 Jul 20262921131310446
INSA30 Jun 20262922131210.543.56
INSA27 Jun 20262922131210437
INSA23 Jun 20262921.51312.510.543.56
INSA20 Jun 20262922131310337
INSA16 Jun 2026292214.51210.53.53.55
INSA13 Jun 20262922141310336
INSA9 Jun 2026292114.51210.53.53.56
INSA6 Jun 20262921141211337
INSA2 Jun 2026292213.51210.53.53.56
INSA30 May 20262922141211336
INSA26 May 20262922141210.5435.5
INSA23 May 20262922141211435
INSA19 May 202629221412.510.53.53.55
INSA16 May 20262922141210337
INSA12 May 2026282312.513113.53.55.5
INSA9 May 20262823131311336
INSA5 May 202627.5241313.510.543.54
INSA2 May 20262824131411334
INSA28 Apr 20262823.512.514113.53.54
INSA25 Apr 20262824121411335
INSA21 Apr 202626.52412.514113.53.55
INSA18 Apr 20262724131411335
INSA14 Apr 2026262512.514103.53.55.5
INSA11 Apr 20262625131410345
INSA8 Apr 20262625121310.53.546
INSA4 Apr 20262625121311346
INSA31 Mar 202626261214.510.533.54.5
INSA28 Mar 20262626121411335
INSA24 Mar 2026262612151033.54.5
INSA21 Mar 20262526121511335
INSA17 Mar 20262625.5121510.533.54.5
INSA14 Mar 20262525121511336
INSA10 Mar 202624.52611.515.510.53.53.55
INSA7 Mar 20262526111511435
INSA3 Mar 20262525.511.5161033.55.5
INSA28 Feb 20262526111610336
INSA24 Feb 202625251115.5113.53.55.5
INSA22 Feb 20262525111611336
INSA17 Feb 202625.525.51115.510345.5
INSA14 Feb 20262525111610346
INSA10 Feb 20262625.51115.510345
INSA7 Feb 20262625111610345
INSA3 Feb 2026262611.515.510344
INSA31 Jan 20262626111610344
INSA27 Jan 2026262511.514.510.544.54
INSA24 Jan 20262625111510445
INSA20 Jan 20262625121410.5444.5
INSA17 Jan 20262625121411444
INSA13 Jan 20262624.51214.510445
INSA10 Jan 20262624121411436
INSA6 Jan 202625.5251114.5113.545.5
INSA3 Jan 20262625111411445
INSA23 Dec 20252624.511.514113.545.5
INSA21 Dec 20252624121411445
INSA16 Dec 2025262510.51410.544.55.5
INSA13 Dec 20252624111411446
INSA9 Dec 202526.524.510.51511444.5
INSA6 Dec 20252625101511445
INSA2 Dec 20252724.51114.510.53.545
INSA28 Nov 20252725111510345
INSA25 Nov 20252625.5111510.5345
INSA22 Nov 20252625111510346
INSA18 Nov 20252624.51115113.545
INSA15 Nov 20252625111511345
INSA11 Nov 2025262511.515.510.5344.5
INSA8 Nov 20252625121511344
INSA3 Nov 202525.525.5111511345
INSA1 Nov 20252625111511345
INSA27 Oct 20252624.5111511.53.544.5
INSA25 Oct 20252624111511445
INSA21 Oct 20252724.511141144.54
INSA18 Oct 20252725111411444
INSA14 Oct 202526.52511.51410.5444.5
INSA12 Oct 20252624121411445
INSA6 Oct 202526.524.51114.511.53.544.5
INSA4 Oct 20252624111412445
INSA29 Sep 2025262511.515.511344
INSA27 Sep 20252625121511344
INSA23 Sep 20252624.51114.511.53.545
INSA20 Sep 20252625111511345
INSA16 Sep 202525.525.511.514.511345
INSA13 Sep 20252525121411346
INSA8 Sep 202525.525.51114.5103.54.55.5
INSA7 Sep 20252526121511344
INSA2 Sep 20252525.51114.5113.545.5
INSA29 Aug 20252526111511345
INSA25 Aug 2025252510.515113.54.55.5
INSA23 Aug 20252525111511346
INSA19 Aug 202525261114.510454.5
INSA16 Aug 2025252611159446
INSA11 Aug 2025252710.514.59.53.54.55.5
INSA9 Aug 2025252711159445
INSA5 Aug 20252527.510.514.59.534.55.5
INSA2 Aug 20252527111510345
INSA28 Jul 20252427.510.514.5103.54.55.5
INSA26 Jul 20252427111510346
INSA22 Jul 20252427.510.51410.53.54.55.5
INSA19 Jul 20252427111511354
INSA14 Jul 202523.527.5111510.53.54.54.5
INSA13 Jul 20252428111511344
INSA7 Jul 202523.5281114.5113.54.54
INSA5 Jul 20252428111511443
INSA1 Jul 202523.52811.515.59.53.553.5
INSA28 Jun 2025242811169354
INSA23 Jun 20252327.511.5161044.53.5
INSA22 Jun 2025232811169445
INSA17 Jun 2025232711.51610.5444
INSA15 Jun 20252327111710444
INSA11 Jun 202522.527.511161044.54.5
INSA7 Jun 20252327111610445
INSA2 Jun 202524.526.510.51610.5444
INSA31 May 20252426101711444
INSA27 May 202524.5261116103.54.54.5
Min – Max22.5–30.517.5–2810–1512–179–123–53–53–8

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland160 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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