INSA poll of 2 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne13.5%-0.5
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 29 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 26.5
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 23.3
- Grüne -1.1average 14.6
- FDP -0.7average 4.2
- BSW +0.5average 3.0
- Linke -0.4average 10.9
- SPD -0.3average 12.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD210
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne98
- SPD87
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD395 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.