Single poll

INSA poll of 6 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
1 to 5 Jun 2026
Respondents
1,206
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD29.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+0.5
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+0.5
  • FDP3.0%-0.5
  • BSW3.0%-0.5
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.1average 26.9
  • CDU/CSU -2.1average 23.1
  • FDP -1.2average 4.2
  • Grüne -0.4average 14.4
  • SPD -0.4average 12.4
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
  • BSW +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 210 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsSPD: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD210
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne101
  • SPD87
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD398 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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