INSA poll of 9 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne14.5%+0.5
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 23.3
- AfD +2.1average 26.9
- FDP -0.7average 4.2
- BSW +0.7average 2.8
- SPD -0.3average 12.3
- Linke -0.3average 10.8
- Grüne +0.1average 14.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD210
- CDU/CSU152
- Grüne105
- SPD87
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD402 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.