Single poll

INSA poll of 13 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
8 to 12 Jun 2026
Respondents
1,203
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD29.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%-0.5
  • SPD13.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%-0.5
  • FDP3.0%-0.5
  • BSW3.0%-0.5
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Jun 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.0average 27.0
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 23.3
  • FDP -1.2average 4.2
  • Linke -0.8average 10.8
  • SPD +0.7average 12.3
  • Grüne -0.4average 14.4
  • BSW +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 208 seatsCDU/CSU: 157 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsSPD: 93 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD208
  • CDU/CSU157
  • Grüne100
  • SPD93
  • Linke72
  • AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD401 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke380 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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