Single poll
INSA poll of 16 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2026, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 27.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 23.0
- FDP -0.8average 4.3
- BSW +0.7average 2.8
- Linke -0.4average 10.9
- SPD -0.2average 12.2
- Grüne ±0average 14.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD208
- CDU/CSU157
- Grüne104
- SPD86
- Linke75
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD398 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Jun 2026INSA, 20 Jun 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.