INSA poll of 20 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 19 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.5
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jun 2026, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 27.3
- FDP -1.4average 4.4
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- Linke -0.9average 10.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 22.8
- SPD +0.6average 12.4
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD210
- CDU/CSU160
- SPD94
- Grüne94
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke376 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.