INSA poll of 23 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jun 2026, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 27.3
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 22.9
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- BSW +0.7average 2.8
- Linke -0.4average 10.9
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- SPD +0.1average 12.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD211
- CDU/CSU157
- Grüne95
- SPD91
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU368 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD397 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke382 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.