INSA poll of 27 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-0.5
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jun 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jun 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 27.5
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -0.9average 10.9
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 22.8
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD213
- CDU/CSU161
- Grüne95
- SPD88
- Linke73
- AfD + CDU/CSU374 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke381 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.