INSA poll of 30 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 27.4
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 22.6
- SPD -0.6average 12.6
- Linke -0.5average 11.0
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- BSW +0.5average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD211
- CDU/CSU160
- Grüne95
- SPD87
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU371 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke383 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.