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Election poll Italy

General election Italy: current election polls

Average of the latest poll from each pollster within the last 30 days, as of 5 November 2026, 14 pollsters. FdI leads with 27.6%. Next election: expected 2027, plus the Italy election forecast 2027.

Lead at the top
FdI 6.5 points ahead of PD
Compared with the 2022 election
FdI +1.6 points
Basis
14 pollsters, latest poll 5 Nov 2026
Next election2027to the election forecastLast election 25 Sep 2022FdI 26.0%official result, Ministero dell'Interno
Government since 22 Oct 2022FdI + Lega + FI + NMPrime Minister Giorgia Meloni (FdI)
Polls, as of 5 Nov 2026FdI 27.6%leading in the average across all pollsters
Election poll Italy
Average of each pollster's latest poll, shares in percent
  • FdI27.6%+1.6
  • PD21.1%+2.0
  • M5S13.1%-2.3
  • FI7.2%-0.9
  • AVS6.9%+3.3
  • Lega5.7%-3.1
  • Azione3.4%
  • IV2.4%
  • +Europa1.5%-1.3
  • NM1.2%+0.3
  • Others10.1%+2.6

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 3%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the election result of 25 Sep 2022.

Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: Wikipedia authors (CC BY-SA 4.0) · As of: 5 Nov 2026
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Basis

These polls feed into the average

The latest poll from each pollster within the last 30 days, averaged without weighting.

Polls in the average, Italy
PollsterPublishedFdIPDM5SFIAVSLegaAzioneIV+EuropaNM
Termometro Politico5 Nov 202628.120.712.67.46.55.52.82.51.61
Noto5 Nov 202629.921.411.87.26.46.43.52.41.11.6
Lab214 Nov 202618.622.614.74.911.43.95.22.32.40.7
Eumetra4 Nov 202629.221.412.67.56.56.43.32.51.61.2
EMG3 Nov 202627.32112.67.66.17.732.71.71.8
SWG2 Nov 202630.321.513.27.56.55.83.22.31.41.2
BiDiMedia30 Oct 202628.321.912.87.77.15.83.220.91.1
Ipsos29 Oct 202626.719.914.96.36.35.6321.80.8
Quorum28 Oct 202629.62114.27.46.85.33.62.8–1.1
Only Numbers26 Oct 202629.122117.96.96.93.62.31.41
Excellera Advisory Group22 Oct 202626.32014.57.96.65.63.12.51.60.7
Pieopoli19 Oct 20262820.51376.5532.51.51.5
Piepoli14 Oct 2026282012.57.56.5532.51.51.5
Sigma Piave8 Oct 202626.62112.67.36.45.63.42.51.51.1
Min – Max18.6–30.319.9–22.611–14.94.9–7.96.1–11.43.9–7.72.8–5.22–2.80.9–2.40.7–1.8

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Electoral system

Why we do not calculate seats for Italy

Three eighths of the seats are allocated in single-member constituencies by plurality, so we do not calculate a seat projection from the polls for Italy.

Trend

Polling trend since the general election 2022

Polling trend Italy
Rolling average and individual polls, shares in percent
010203040502023202420252026FdIPDM5SFIAVSLegaAzioneIV+EuropaNM
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 30 days. Period 28 Sep 2022 to 5 Nov 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: Wikipedia authors (CC BY-SA 4.0) · As of: 5 Nov 2026
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Background

The general election in Italy at a glance

Since the 2020 reduction the Chamber of Deputies has 400 seats. Elections use the Rosatellum: three eighths of the seats in single-member constituencies by plurality, the rest via lists with a three per cent threshold. Running as a coalition brings big advantages in the constituencies.

Since October 2022 Giorgia Meloni has governed with Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia and Noi Moderati. Azione and Italia Viva ran as a joint list in 2022 and have been polled separately since.

Italy has the densest polling landscape in Europe: SWG, Tecnè, YouTrend, Termometro Politico, EMG and Eumetra publish almost weekly, so a 30-day window is enough for the average.

Parliament
Chamber of Deputies
Seats
400
Threshold
3 per cent
Last election
25 September 2022
Next election
expected 2027
Government
FdI, Lega, FI, NM (Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (FdI))

Result of the general election 2022

FdI 26.0%PD 19.1%M5S 15.4%Lega 8.8%FI 8.1%Azione–IV 7.8%AVS 3.6%+Europa 2.8%NM 0.9%Others 7.5%

Source: Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo, Camera 2022.

Archive

All polls for the general election

1176 polls since 28 September 2022. Pollsters: SWG (190), Termometro Politico (157), Tecnè (132), EMG (84), Eumetra (79), Quorum (74), BiDiMedia (62), Lab2101 (61), Euromedia (51), Piepoli (50), Ipsos (45), Noto (31), Demopolis (29), Ixè (26), Proger Index (24), Only Numbers (22), Winpoll (18), Demos & Pi (11), Tecné (10), Sigma Piave (5), Lab21 (4), EMG Different (2), Excellera Advisory Group (1), Pieopoli (1), Cluster 17 (1), Demos&Pi (1), Euromedia Research (1), Cluster17 (1), Demos (1), Stack Data Strategy (1), AnalisiPolitica (1).

The 40 latest polls, Italy
PollsterPublishedFdIPDM5SFIAVSLegaAzioneIV+EuropaNM
Termometro Politico5 Nov 202628.120.712.67.46.55.52.82.51.61
Noto5 Nov 202629.921.411.87.26.46.43.52.41.11.6
Noto5 Nov 202629.819.614.67.36.36.34211.6
Lab214 Nov 202618.622.614.74.911.43.95.22.32.40.7
Eumetra4 Nov 202629.221.412.67.56.56.43.32.51.61.2
EMG3 Nov 202627.32112.67.66.17.732.71.71.8
SWG2 Nov 202630.321.513.27.56.55.83.22.31.41.2
BiDiMedia30 Oct 202628.321.912.87.77.15.83.220.91.1
Termometro Politico29 Oct 202628.120.812.57.56.35.62.92.41.61
Ipsos29 Oct 202626.719.914.96.36.35.6321.80.8
Quorum28 Oct 202629.62114.27.46.85.33.62.8–1.1
Eumetra28 Oct 202629.321.212.67.76.76.13.32.41.81
SWG26 Oct 202630.621.512.97.76.65.63.22.41.51
Only Numbers26 Oct 202629.122117.96.96.93.62.31.41
Only Numbers26 Oct 202629.519.712.686.56.64.221.91.1
Termometro Politico22 Oct 202627.820.612.77.36.45.42.82.51.61
Only Numbers22 Oct 202629.320.911.97.96.86.73.22.51.71
Lab2122 Oct 202629.320.713.675.85.93.12.710.9
Excellera Advisory Group22 Oct 202626.32014.57.96.65.63.12.51.60.7
Eumetra21 Oct 202627.720.112.47.36.45.63.22.41.71.1
Noto20 Oct 202629.322117.36.86.33.82.911.6
Noto20 Oct 202629.120147.36.76.24.22.311.6
EMG20 Oct 20262721.312.17.85.87.62.82.71.91.8
SWG19 Oct 202628.120.712.77.16.45.23.12.41.41
SWG19 Oct 202649.5––12.611.68.45.3––2.1
SWG19 Oct 202629.721.211.87.26.45.13.12.41.31
SWG19 Oct 202629.820.513.17.16.55.13.21.91.11.1
Pieopoli19 Oct 20262820.51376.5532.51.51.5
BiDiMedia19 Oct 202628.121.812.77.175.73.22.11.21.1
Termometro Politico15 Oct 202627.521.112.57.56.35.332.41.81.1
Only Numbers15 Oct 202629.421.111.78.176.33.52.41.51.1
Piepoli14 Oct 2026282012.57.56.5532.51.51.5
Eumetra14 Oct 202627.520.112.77.36.55.83.32.31.71.1
SWG12 Oct 202627.720.412.77.36.65.43.22.31.71
Lab219 Oct 202629.620.9147.35.85.7331.30.8
Termometro Politico8 Oct 202627.821.112.77.36.25.32.82.51.61
Sigma Piave8 Oct 202626.62112.67.36.45.63.42.51.51.1
Only Numbers8 Oct 202628.920.512.37.97.26.63.52.42.11.2
Eumetra8 Oct 202627.520.312.67.46.55.73.22.21.81.1
Quorum6 Oct 202628.121.2147.7653.42.61.61
Min – Max18.6–49.519.6–22.611–14.94.9–12.65.8–11.63.9–8.42.8–5.31.9–30.9–2.40.7–2.1

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

The 40 latest of 1176 polls.

Sources

Data and licence

Polls: Wikipedia authors, article "Opinion polling for the next Italian general election", licence CC BY-SA 4.0, retrieved on 9 Nov 2026 (revision 1384645018). Averages, seats, coalitions and probabilities are our own calculations by wahlergebnisse.io and are likewise licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0. Election result and government: Ministero dell'Interno, Eligendo, Camera 2022.

Method · All countries · Election polls Germany

Election tickerNext electionSaarland160 daysLatest pollINSA, Federal7 Nov 2026AfD 29CDU/CSU 19Grüne 15Biggest moveCDU, Hamburg▼ −6,0Leading nationallyAfDfor 204 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%

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