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Pollster

Ipsos: current polls

82 polls since 29 January 2017, 9 of them in 2026. Latest release on 2 September 2026. Recently commissioned by: DER SPIEGEL, Ipsos, Euronews.

Our analysis

How does Ipsos compare?

House effect since 22 September 2025 in federal polls: CDU/CSU -1.5, Linke +1.2, Grüne +0.6 relative to the average of the other pollsters (12 polls). Accuracy: rank 2 of 13 with an average deviation of 1.0 points per party across 4 elections since 2017. All pollsters compared.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5
  • Linke +1.2
  • Grüne +0.6
  • FDP +0.5
  • SPD +0.2
  • AfD +0.1
  • BSW ±0
Deviation of the final Ipsos poll before each election from the result
ElectionPoll ofMean deviationBiggest miss
Bundestag 23 Feb 202521 Feb 20250.7Linke -1.8
European election 9 Jun 20247 Jun 20241.0Grüne +3.1
Bundestag 26 Sep 202124 Sep 20211.2CDU/CSU -2.1
European election 26 May 201924 May 20191.1Grüne -2.5
Federal

Ipsos on the federal election

The pollster's latest polls for the Bundestag.

PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUGrüneLinkeSPDFDPBSWOthers
Ipsos2 Sep 20262721151312534
Ipsos6 Aug 20262821151312533
Ipsos9 Jul 20262822141313433
Ipsos11 Jun 20262723141213434
Ipsos13 May 20262623141213435
Ipsos1 Apr 20262524141114534
Ipsos5 Mar 20262425141115434
Ipsos16 Feb 20262623131215434
Ipsos15 Jan 20262623131115435
Ipsos4 Dec 20252623131015445
Ipsos12 Nov 20252624121115444
Ipsos9 Oct 20252523111215455
Ipsos10 Sep 20252524121215345
Ipsos7 Aug 20252525111115355
Ipsos10 Jul 20252426121215344

Average of all pollsters for the federal election

All parliaments

Latest poll per election

Other pollsters

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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