Ipsos poll of 13 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 1,047
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU39.0%±0
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jun 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jun 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.2average 23.8
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 38.6
- AfD +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU256
- SPD171
- FDP53
- Linke52
- AfD52
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.