Ipsos poll of 28 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,014
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-14.0
- Grüne23.0%+16.0
- SPD13.0%-13.0
- AfD13.0%+5.0
- FDP11.0%+3.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jul 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,014 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jul 2017, Grüne gains 16.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 14.0 points, SPD loses 13.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Linke 2.3 points higher and AfD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.3average 6.7
- AfD +2.2average 10.8
- SPD -2.1average 15.1
- FDP -0.8average 11.8
- Grüne -0.7average 23.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 25.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU168
- Grüne154
- SPD87
- AfD87
- FDP74
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.