Ipsos poll of 29 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+3.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-3.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 28 May 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 28 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 6.8
- SPD -0.7average 15.7
- FDP -0.7average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.6
- Grüne +0.3average 20.7
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne142
- SPD102
- FDP74
- AfD68
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.