Ipsos poll of 3 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 31 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+3.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jun 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 21 to 31 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 29 Jun 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has FDP 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.1average 12.1
- SPD +1.7average 16.3
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- Grüne +0.9average 19.1
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne135
- SPD122
- AfD75
- FDP68
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.