Ipsos poll of 31 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 29 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD25.0%+7.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-6.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 3 Aug 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 28 to 29 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 3 Aug 2021, SPD gains 7.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 3.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 22.0
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 23.1
- Grüne +1.5average 17.5
- FDP -1.0average 12.0
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD167
- CDU/CSU141
- Grüne127
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne435 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP382 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.