Ipsos poll of 17 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 16 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD27.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 31 Aug 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 15 to 16 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 31 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 2.2 points higher and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 15.8
- FDP -1.5average 11.5
- SPD +1.3average 25.7
- Linke +0.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 21.5
- AfD -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD181
- CDU/CSU141
- Grüne120
- AfD74
- FDP67
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD375 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.