Ipsos poll of 24 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 23 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- FDP12.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 17 Sep 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 22 to 23 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 17 Sep 2021, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +0.6average 6.4
- SPD +0.5average 25.5
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.5average 11.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 22.3
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD174
- CDU/CSU148
- Grüne107
- FDP80
- AfD74
- Linke47
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.