Ipsos poll of 12 January 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 929
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 929 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 24 Sep 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 23.0
- SPD -1.9average 26.9
- AfD +1.3average 10.7
- Linke +1.1average 4.9
- Grüne -0.8average 15.8
- FDP -0.4average 11.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD175
- CDU/CSU147
- Grüne105
- AfD84
- FDP77
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD364 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.