Ipsos poll of 9 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 4 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 910
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+3.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-3.0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- Others7.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Jan 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 910 people were surveyed from 4 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has FDP 2.0 points lower and Linke 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.0average 10.0
- Linke +1.8average 6.2
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
- SPD +1.3average 23.7
- AfD +1.1average 10.9
- Grüne ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD170
- CDU/CSU163
- Grüne108
- AfD81
- FDP54
- Linke54
- SPD + CDU/CSU333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.