Single poll

Ipsos poll of 10 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
4 Mar 2022
Respondents
935
Method
Online
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+3.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-2.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Feb 2022.

In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 935 people were surveyed from 4 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 9 Feb 2022, FDP gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 25.6
  • FDP +1.4average 9.6
  • AfD +0.7average 10.3
  • SPD +0.3average 24.7
  • Grüne -0.2average 16.2
  • Linke ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 169 seatsCDU/CSU: 163 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD169
  • CDU/CSU163
  • Grüne108
  • FDP75
  • AfD74
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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