Single poll

Ipsos poll of 8 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
1 Apr 2022
Respondents
912
Method
Online
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 Mar 2022.

In this poll Ipsos has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 912 people were surveyed from 1 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 10 Mar 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has FDP 2.8 points higher and Grüne 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +2.8average 9.2
  • Grüne -2.7average 17.7
  • CDU/CSU -2.4average 25.4
  • AfD +2.1average 9.9
  • Linke +1.4average 4.6
  • SPD -0.2average 25.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 169 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD169
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne102
  • FDP81
  • AfD81
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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