Single poll

Ipsos poll of 13 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
6 May 2022
Respondents
906
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+2.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Apr 2022.

In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 906 people were surveyed from 6 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 3.7 points lower and FDP 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.7average 19.7
  • FDP +1.9average 9.1
  • AfD +1.1average 9.9
  • Linke +0.7average 4.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 25.6
  • SPD +0.2average 23.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 171 seatsSPD: 165 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU171
  • SPD165
  • Grüne110
  • FDP75
  • AfD75
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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