Single poll

Ipsos poll of 13 June 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Ipsos
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
  • SPD23.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+3.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%-2.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 May 2022.

In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.

Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 May 2022, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 2.4 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.4average 21.4
  • SPD +1.7average 21.3
  • FDP +1.1average 7.9
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 193 seatsSPD: 165 seatsGrüne: 136 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU193
  • SPD165
  • Grüne136
  • AfD72
  • FDP64
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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