Ipsos poll of 8 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 2 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- SPD22.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jun 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 2 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 13 Jun 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 22.6
- SPD +1.6average 20.4
- FDP +1.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD151
- Grüne137
- AfD68
- FDP62
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.