Ipsos poll of 16 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%+2.0
- SPD19.0%-3.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Jul 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 8 Jul 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 23.3
- AfD -0.9average 11.9
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
- SPD +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne151
- SPD130
- AfD75
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.