Ipsos poll of 7 September 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 16 Aug 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 16 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 22.7
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- AfD -0.2average 12.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- SPD130
- AfD82
- FDP55
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.