Ipsos poll of 12 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Sep 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 7 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 19.4
- AfD -1.2average 14.2
- Linke +0.8average 5.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- SPD -0.4average 18.4
- FDP -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne144
- SPD123
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.