Ipsos poll of 9 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Oct 2022.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 12 Oct 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 14.6
- Linke +1.3average 4.7
- Grüne +0.9average 19.1
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- SPD -0.4average 19.4
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne137
- SPD130
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.