Ipsos poll of 29 June 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Jun 2017
- Respondents
- 1,052
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU39.0%+1.0
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 15 Jun 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 15 Jun 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 7.6
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- SPD +0.8average 24.2
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- Grüne -0.7average 7.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 38.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU256
- SPD164
- AfD59
- FDP53
- Linke52
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.