Ipsos poll of 15 June 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Jun 2017
- Respondents
- 1,054
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- SPD26.0%-2.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 1 Jun 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,054 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 1 Jun 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 24.2
- FDP -1.8average 8.8
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- AfD +0.7average 8.3
- Grüne -0.5average 7.5
- CDU/CSU ±0average 38.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- SPD173
- AfD60
- Linke53
- FDP46
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.