Ipsos poll of 1 June 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,093
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- SPD28.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 18 May 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,093 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 18 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 2.7 points higher and FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.7average 25.3
- FDP -2.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 37.6
- Grüne -0.4average 7.4
- Linke -0.3average 8.3
- AfD -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU249
- SPD184
- Linke53
- AfD52
- FDP46
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD433 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.