Ipsos poll of 18 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 14 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,049
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
- SPD29.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 4 May 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,049 people were surveyed from 12 to 14 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 4 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Ipsos has SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.5average 27.5
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- Linke -0.6average 8.6
- AfD -0.4average 8.4
- Grüne -0.2average 7.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 36.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- SPD192
- Linke53
- AfD53
- Grüne46
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.