Ipsos poll of 4 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Ipsos
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,059
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- SPD30.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Apr 2017.
In this poll Ipsos has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,059 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Ipsos.
Compared with the previous Ipsos poll of 20 Apr 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.4average 6.4
- SPD +0.9average 29.1
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- AfD +0.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 35.7
- Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD199
- AfD60
- Linke53
- Grüne46
- FDP33
- CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.